Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.058673 0.068503 0.079450 0.092540 0.107769 0.124929 0.145736
2025-10-12 0.043924 0.056869 0.072802 0.093848 0.120922 0.154591 0.199677
2025-10-19 0.034984 0.049025 0.067684 0.094277 0.131213 0.180733 0.252254
2025-10-26 0.029361 0.043912 0.064504 0.095742 0.141947 0.207826 0.309051
2025-11-02 0.025656 0.040589 0.062900 0.098619 0.154395 0.238247 0.374141
2025-11-09 0.021403 0.035612 0.057898 0.095341 0.156713 0.253456 0.417889
2025-11-16 0.018645 0.032478 0.055158 0.094971 0.163169 0.275396 0.474572
2025-11-23 0.016306 0.029637 0.052407 0.094034 0.168306 0.295481 0.530386
2025-11-30 0.014803 0.027993 0.051396 0.095829 0.178174 0.324476 0.604931
2025-12-07 0.013123 0.025764 0.049016 0.094771 0.182659 0.344354 0.665379
2025-12-14 0.011495 0.023388 0.046027 0.092117 0.183716 0.357919 0.715486
2025-12-21 0.010109 0.021280 0.043255 0.089466 0.184339 0.370555 0.765105
2025-12-28 0.009399 0.020464 0.042945 0.091767 0.195271 0.404869 0.863105
2026-01-04 0.008610 0.019373 0.041943 0.092516 0.203143 0.434079 0.954619
2026-01-11 0.007876 0.018293 0.040816 0.092832 0.210102 0.462186 1.047369
2026-01-18 0.007315 0.017519 0.040238 0.094254 0.219624 0.496824 1.158777
2026-01-25 0.006915 0.017057 0.040285 0.097083 0.232649 0.540633 1.296405
2026-02-01 0.006144 0.015601 0.037873 0.093854 0.231196 0.551638 1.359299
2026-02-08 0.005641 0.014733 0.036724 0.093490 0.236496 0.578825 1.464169
2026-02-15 0.005160 0.013848 0.035421 0.092567 0.240292 0.602855 1.564325
2026-02-22 0.004871 0.013422 0.035197 0.094335 0.251059 0.645073 1.715485
2026-03-01 0.004468 0.012635 0.033954 0.093294 0.254443 0.669278 1.823317
2026-03-08 0.004034 0.011700 0.032207 0.090680 0.253334 0.681867 1.902095